The timing of this switch is still up for grabs with EC showing it occurring at dawn Sunday, while GFS has it into the late afternoon and evening. Either way the surf will remain very poor.
The E/SE winds will continue into Monday kicking up some new SE windswell for the Surf Coast, easing Tuesday as winds relax but winds remain onshore out of the SE.
Our new W/SW groundswell for Wednesday is still on track, with a strong frontal progression forecast to develop around the Heard Island region, projecting a fetch of W/SW gales up towards Western Australia, weakening directly south-west of the state.
This will result in a loss in size and consistency, but the swell should offer some fun sized sets across the exposed beaches, building Wednesday and reaching 4-5ft+, smaller and to 2-3ft on the Surf Coast. The only issue are the local winds, as per usual and they look SE for the most part, possibly weaker through the morning and then likely more favourable Thursday as the swell eases, but we'll have a closer look at this on Friday.